Part I. Foundations
The decision framework and the research workflow.
A model-selection handbook for applied economic research: from the test that selects the method to the paper that reports it.
Why this handbook. Applied economists rarely lack methods; they lack a defensible way to choose among them. This handbook starts from the question, not the estimator: which test or diagnostic tells you which model to use, what to do when the evidence is mixed, and how to write the result up. Every chapter takes one real dataset through that path (tests, estimation, diagnostics, robustness, and the text of the paper) with the code and its output shown, so you can reproduce each step.
The decision paths, the choice of tests and the design of the inference are based on my own learning, knowledge and implementation. Interactive versions of the guides are on the main website. The handbook is free to read and share.
Work in progress. This handbook is still being revised. Please check numerical results and references against the original sources before citing. If you find a mistake, a typo or an unclear passage, please report it to tuhin.hnu@gmail.com. Corrections are welcome and will be credited in later versions.
The decision framework and the research workflow.
OLS, VAR, VECM, ARDL, NARDL, SVAR, local projections, threshold and smooth-transition models, structural breaks, 2SLS and GMM.
Pooled OLS, fixed and random effects, GMM, Driscoll–Kraay, mean group, PMG, CS-ARDL, panel local projections and panel thresholds.
Instrumental variables, difference-in-differences, staggered DiD, synthetic control, generalized synthetic control, interrupted time series, regression discontinuity.
LASSO, ridge, elastic net, random forest, gradient boosting, double machine learning and causal forests.
Bayesian regression, BVAR, steady-state VAR, FAVAR, mixed-frequency, panel VAR, stochastic-volatility, TVP and threshold VARs.
MS-AR, MS regression, MS-VAR and MS panel VAR.
RBC, New Keynesian, small open economy, optimal policy, identification, Bayesian estimation, medium-scale model, zero lower bound, higher-order solutions.